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A Model of

Executive Decision-Making

 

 

Robert Shaw

The Open Polytechnic of New Zealand

 

 

 

 


 

PREFACE

 

 

This model of decision-making for executives is designed for use when you implement policy.  The model was developed through a consideration of actual problems identified by managers.

 

The model applies to complex decisions that would normally be taken by senior managers. It considers aspects of decision-making such as ethics, political and institutional constraints, and the limitations of rules; and thereby illuminates the process of decision-making well beyond the "information for" stage. 

 

This approach to decision-making does not prescribe "correct" conclusions in particular cases, but rather it allows alternative perspectives to be considered within a structured format.

 

The development and validation of this model has been recorded in the academic literature. It is a “generic” model designed to cover policy implementation and course members may wish to develop this model to address more precisely the specific decisions taken in their own organisations.

 

This booklet is designed for use during courses on decision-making.  Hence, it is for managers who have worked through "The Customs’ Case”, and understand the terminology of case studies. Having completed the course, managers may find the booklet a useful reference when reflecting on difficult decisions.

 

The project team who developed the model ask that persons who have not been through the course refrain from taking photocopies and misrepresenting or misusing the model.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Robert Shaw

Senior Lecturer

The Open Polytechnic of New Zealand

 

 

 

CONTENTS                                                                                            Page

INTRODUCTION                                                                                              3

               SCOPE OF THE MODEL                                                                 3

               ASPECTS OF DECISION-MAKING                                                4

               USING THE MODEL                                                                          5

               HOW THE MODEL HELPS                                                              6                

               ACCOUNTABILITY                                                                            6

HOW TO IMPLEMENT POLICY                                                                    7

               SUMMARY OF THE MODEL                                                           8

               GROUPING OF COMPONENTS                                                     10

               FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS                                                     10

               DIAGRAM OF COMPONENTS                                                        11

               CONDITIONS                                                                                      12

               FACTS                                                                                                14

               RULES                                                                                                17

               MORALITY                                                                                          22

               OPTIONS                                                                                            25

               RISKS                                                                                                  27

LEARNING AND USING THE MODEL                                                       29

               BASIC APPLICATION OF THE MODEL                                        30

               FURTHER APPLICATIONS                                                              31

               CONSISTENT ADMINISTRATION                                                   32

               PRINCIPLES OF CRITICISM                                                            33

               LAW AND DECISION-MAKING                                                       33              

 

 

INTRODUCTION

 

This booklet describes a strategy (model) for executive decision-making called Administrative Discretionary Justice (ADJ). 

 

"Administrative” because public or company administration is the context in which we are working.  The model is about the implementation of existing policy.

 

“Discretionary” because neither legislation nor ministerial nor executive direction can make our decisions for us. There is scope to interpret rules and the decision maker is obliged to make judgements.

 

“Justice” because we are concerned to do the right thing. The decision must be explicit about moral concepts and we must treat people morally.

 

The formal definition of Administrative Discretionary Justice is: the resolution of the legal, ethical and practical issues which arise in a situation where an official acting in a capacity which is, in the final analysis, defined and limited by government policy, legislation, or organisational policy, makes a just decision which results in action or inaction which affects other persons.

 

 

SCOPE OF THE MODEL

 

Most accounts of decision-making advise that there are 5 or 6 steps through which a decision-maker should proceed.  One text, for example, lists these:

 

1.           Identify why a decision is needed

 

2.           Gather relevant information

 

3.           Develop criteria for making a good decision

 

4.           Develop possible solutions.

 

5.           Choose the best solution.

 

It is difficult to depart from a sequence such as this - it does not make sense to make the decision until you have decided what are the facts and the options! 

 

Whilst the business of decision-making is straightforward enough when described as an orderly sequence of steps, it is quite another matter to describe how you identify the need for decisions, how you decide what is relevant and ensure nothing is omitted, how you examine possible decisions and balance factors when the situation is complex.  The model presented here is the first move towards answering such questions.

 

The model was developed by considering a large number of examples of managerial decision-making in government organisations and the private sector.  The developers tried to classify the issues that appeared again and again        in the dilemmas being faced by senior New Zealand managers when they tried to implement policy. 

 

These dilemmas were frequently found to arise once the analysts' work was completed and a draft response to correspondence completed.

 

The ADJ model provides a systematic approach to decisions which are made by managers when they have a relatively specific situation to respond to, a reasonable amount of time to respond, and are ultimately governed in their response by rules. The rules are in legislation, bylaws, or other documents.

 

In some situations that do not conform to these limitations, the model has been found to be of use - but the approach to decision-making being described here should not be judged by a consideration of decision-making in any wider context than that set down.

 

Managers ought to look for the wider implications of individual problems, but the present model is not a model for use in policy or systems development. Policy development requires quite a different approach to decision making.  Policy development is about changing the rules.

 

 

ASPECTS OF DECISION-MAKING

 

The model of decision-making presented here addresses only one aspect of decision-making: it is restricted to the objective factors that could be used in the justification of a decision.

 

When people make decisions, what takes place in their heads (the psychology of decision-making) and the nature of the interaction between the people involved (the “sociology” of decision-making) can be important but the ADJ model is not concerned with these matters.

 

It is important to understand that the psychology and sociology of decision-making may be separated from the objective justification of any decision. Understanding this separation is essential if you are to focus on the qualities of decisions.  There will be many paths by which decision-makers may arrive at the same objective account of a decision.  Some paths will be more efficient than others.  Some may depend on creative insight. Others will be more like a process of elimination by trial and error. But what is of importance in the present course are the merits of decisions themselves.

 

 

The model for decision-making deliberately ignores the psychology and sociology of decision-making.  This is for 2 reasons:

 

·      Managers must justify their decisions in an objective manner. (A chief executive cannot justify a decision to a minister by reference to the idiosyncratic nature of the ministry officials!)

 

·      Before we can begin to analyse psychological and sociological approaches to decision-making we need to know what is the goal of these processes. Most courses on the processes of decision making stumble because they do not have an adequate account of the objectives of decision-making.

 

Another way of stating the point above is to say we are concerned with defining what is excellence in decision outcome and justification, rather than the efficiency or economy of reaching decisions. It is outputs, not inputs, that count.

 

 

USING THE MODEL

 

The ADJ model is an intellectual tool.  Like all tools it can be used inappropriately or abused.  If you have the model in your kit of tools and can produce it when appropriate and use it to the extent of its capabilities, it will serve you well. One of your early tasks is to learn when the model is appropriate and information on that is incorporated into the model.

 

It is possible to place too much reliance on a tool, or to let the use of the tool become the aim of the exercise.  The model should not be allowed to take over and become an end in itself.

 

Like a tool the model will help you build, and help to determine your approach to building - it will not tell you what to build.  Nor will it alone determine the ultimate quality of the structure you build.

 

Your judgement will improve as you practice using the model. Judgement is cognitive ability to bring complex factors into consideration and to heed them to the appropriate extent when making decisions.

 


HOW THE MODEL HELPS

 

By increasing the confidence of managers in their own judgement it may possible to minimise their reluctance to take decisions and increase their willingness to accept responsibility.

 

The judgement of managers can be improved.  The model will assist judgement in 4 ways:

 

·      It will make a complex matter more straightforward by making explicit the issues being considered.

 

·      It will provide a systematic approach to the consideration of the decision.

 

·      It will enable the issues to be seen in their appropriate intellectual traditions.  This means managers can be guided to areas of study that will advance their understanding of the components of decisions.

 

·      It will provide an approach to the testing of alternative hypotheses to review the robustness of a decision.

 

The model alone does not miraculously give a person good judgement.  It can improve a manager’s ability to argue complex, contentious points, but it cannot of itself provide the answer. Some managers would like a model that leads to decisions as if it were a computer programme. However, in the decision addressed by the model are at heart ethical decisions and there is no way that such decision can be made by an algorithm. If they could be so made, we would not need to development of judgement.

 

 

ACCOUNTABILITY

 

The model also has a role in the provision of accountability. 

 

Privately, a manager has the confidence that the decision made was based on a systematic process.  Publicly, the model provides accountability if controlling officers/managers and subordinates acknowledge the value of the application of the model, and agree that it leads to a comprehensive and systematic assessment of decisions.

 

By displaying a working sheet that shows the application of the model to a decision, a manager may prove that comprehensive and balanced consideration was given to the decision.  Mistakes will still occur, and there will be differences of opinion on the weighting that should be given to particular matters, but with the model an official will at least be able to prove the work was done: there were examined reasons for the decision that was made, and all matters that may have had a bearing on the decision were explicitly considered.

 


 

 

 

 

How to implement policy:

 

 

 

A model -

 

ADMINISTRATIVE DISCRETIONARY JUSTICE

 


                                                                                                                                                                         

SUMMARY

Definition of Administrative Discretionary Justice: the resolution of the legal, ethical and practical issues which arise in a situation where an official acting in a capacity which is, in the final analysis, defined and limited by government policy, legislation or organisational policy, makes a just decision which results in action or inaction which affects other persons.

 

The model (ADJ) is made up of components.  In order for an official to address an administrative decision adequately, the following components seem to be logically required:

 

 

CONDITIONS

The CONDITIONS of ADJ are those criteria, which must be satisfied if the model is to be applied.

 

 

FACTS

The FACTS of ADJ are the circumstances, constraints, relevant personal information, and the likely consequences of particular decisions, which, when taken together, describe a particular case.  Consideration of the veracity of facts and the absence of information falls within this Component.

 

 

RULES

The written rules, including precedents, which are relevant to or "govern" a decision, together with the guidelines intended to preserve the integrity of the decision-making process, are the RULES of ADJ.

 

 

MORALITY

The MORALITY of ADJ requires the consideration of 2 issues: (1) the moral principles that are held by the organisation or the decision-maker to be potentially relevant in any application of ADJ (2) the persons or parties affected (together with an account of how they are affected) by a potential decision.

OPTIONS

OPTIONS are taken in accordance with the strategy suggested by the model of ADJ when all the Components of ADJ are systematically considered and taken into account in reaching conclusions.

 

 

RISKS

The tasks within the RISKS Component of ADJ are a consideration of those matters that may affect the implementation of the decision once it is made, and the development of practical proposals to assist with its implementation. The focus is on the risks that are inherent in the decision, but we must also be mindful of the opportunities presented.

 

 

Components contribute to the making of executive decisions in different ways, but experience shows that at each decision point one or two components usually dominate the discussion of alternatives being considered.

 


GROUPING OF COMPONENTS

It is not possible, or sensible, to prescribe an order in which a decision-maker should proceed to consider the Components - decisions are too diverse and components interact in a variety of ways.

 

The Components may be conveniently grouped to indicate their relationship to each other.

 

CONDITIONS stands alone and it is the first Component to be considered in a decision.  CONDITIONS outlines the criteria that must be satisfied if the model is to be applied.  If you wish to know if a situation is one in which you can usefully apply the model, ask whether the CONDITIONS are satisfied.  The other Components contribute to the making of the decision or to the development of an approach to its implementation.

 

The Components FACTS and RULES deal with factual matters of different kinds.

 

The Component MORALITY deals with concerns of ethics; it examines the same concerns (i.e. moral or ethical) from different perspectives.

 

Whilst the Component RISKS, although it relates to possible events after the decision has been made, needs to be assessed before the decision is made.

 

 

FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS

 

In all Components there are questions relating to financial or economic matters that may be asked about a decision. 

 

To enable the systematic examination of economic matters apart from other matters, these questions are marked with an asterisk (*). 

 

It is not recommended that economic matters be divorced from other considerations in practical decision-making, but for the purpose of teaching the model it is sometimes desirable to do so.

 


THE MODEL: How to implement policy

 

 

 

 

ADMINISTRATIVE DISCRETIONARY JUSTICE
           

 

 

“Do I have a problem ...”

 

____________________________________________________________

 

Definition

 

The CONDITIONS of ADJ are those criteria that must be satisfied if the model is to be applied.

____________________________________________________________

 

Key Questions

 

1               What are the prima facie facts?

 

2               Am I the appropriate manager to make the decision?

 

3                              What decision options immediately suggest themselves?

         

4                              Is this clearly policy implementation, or is it policy development?

 

___________________________________________________________

 

Notes                         

·      The CONDITIONS Component asks the decision-maker to address rapidly some of the matters that are exhaustively addressed when the model is applied.

 

·      Prima facie is there a decision to be made, and who is the appropriate person, in which organisation, to make the decision?

 

·      What opportunities for policy development does the situation offer?

___________________________________________________________

 

 

 

 

Further Questions

 

          1          Which are the essential facts that require that a    decision be made? (Is this situation almost

                      completely rule governed?)

 

2          Is this the appropriate organisation or department? (appropriate to statutory functions or other directives.)

 

3          Are the authorities or delegations to hand?  Has the authority been given or is it assumed?

 

4          Is it within my personal competence to make this decision? (Do I accept this responsibility?  Should the decision be passed "upstairs" or "downstairs"?)

 

5               Are there other organisations or managers within my organisation with whom I should consult before making the decision?

 

6               Is the information provided in an adequate form for decision-making? (e.g. is the presentation of a report sensible and helpful?)

 

7               How much time should I (or my subordinates) spend on the decision?

 

8               What implications are there for policy or systems development? Should steps be taken immediately to begin development work?

 

9               Is economic analysis of options necessary before a decision can be reached? *

 

            *Economic Questions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

“We know that ...”

 

_________________________________________________________

 

Definition

 

The FACTS of ADJ are the circumstances, constraints, relevant personal information, which, when taken together, describe a particular case.  Consideration of veracity of facts and the absence of information falls within this Component.

 

_________________________________________________________

 

Key Questions

 

1               What are the facts of the case?  Which are the essential facts that affect the decision?

 

2               Are there facts relating to my organisation and current situation which must be taken into account?

 

3               What is the status of each statement? (What is absolutely certain, probably true, open to dispute, hearsay, an allegation, not supported by evidence, supported by evidence, provided by someone with a vested interest?)

 

4               What information is needed but not available?

_________________________________________________________

 

Notes

·           Assembling facts, questioning their veracity, and providing evidence to establish facts where this is necessary, are all tasks within this Component.  The establishing of facts may be a complex and difficult task.

 

·           Experienced decision-makers prefer to have all the facts and decide for themselves what is relevant.

 

·           When facts relate to moral issues it may be difficult but important to separate facts from judgements and perceptions.

 

·           Some of the facts will be defined by institutional or other constraints.  These may be government or company policy, the impossibility of adequately consulting before a decision is made, the likely press or public reaction to certain decisions, and the limitation of finance.

 

________________________________________________________

 

Further Questions

 

10            Who initiated the need for a decision?

 

11            Is the initiator a “special” person? (Minister, member of the board, MP, member of a political or special interest group, from a particular cultural group, illiterate, known crank).  If so, what does this imply?

 

12            Is the decision a review of an earlier decision?  If so, who made the original decision, what is known of their ability and interests, the context of the original decision, the outcome of the original decision?

 

13            Is there a fact that should be brought to the attention of Head Office, a senior official, chief executive or Minister?

 

14            How might further information be pursued?

 

15            Do cultural differences significantly affect my view of the relevant facts? Are there particular  professional perspectives dominating my view/ interpretation of the facts?  Is this appropriate?

 

16            Which facts are clearly relevant to the decision and which are clearly irrelevant?

 

17            How are those facts of disputed relevance related to the decision?  (This question links FACTS to other Components).

 

18            For decisions involving equipment, are there minimal technical specifications that must be met?

 

19*           Are there budgetary limits within which the decision-maker must work?

 

20*           What costs or returns may be predicted regarding alternative decision outcomes?

 

21*           Is the decision likely to have a significant effect on company/departmental profits or expenditure levels?

 

22*           What for the various groups involved, are the tax      implications of the likely decisions?

 

                                    *      Economic Questions

 

____________________________________________________________

 

Check:              Has the real problem been identified in CONDITIONS?

 


 

 

“The book states ...”

 

________________________________________________________

 

Definition

 

The written rules, including precedents, which are relevant to or “govern” a decision, together with the guidelines intended to preserve the integrity of the decision-making process, are the RULES of ADJ.

 

________________________________________________________

 

Key Questions

 

1               What rules are directly related to the prima facie facts?

 

2               What is the status of the rules? (Statute, organisational mission or objective statement, accepted manual, information precedent, direction from superior.)

 

3               Are the procedures being used to arrive at the decision appropriate for the matter being considered? (Perhaps a formal hearing would be more appropriate or opportunity should be given for an interview.)

 

4               Have the procedures of natural justice been considered? (Have interested parties had a chance to be heard before they are adversely affected by a decision.)

________________________________________________________

 

 

 

Notes

·      Formal rules may be found in a constitution, in legislation, accredited mission statements or statements            of organisational objectives, accredited manuals, by-laws, informally drafted instructions or written precedents.

 

·      Where verbal instructions are of such importance that they assume the mantle of rules, they should be written down.

 

·      The determination of which rules are to be applied in a particular case and the status of those rules is an important part of decision-making.  Rules may be altered, and it is important to know what procedures should be followed to have rules changed and to know when to initiate the process.

 

·      The relationship between various formal rules is important.  The authority of       government organisations is ultimately derived from        parliamentary statute.  How the manuals produced in organisations relate to acts and regulations is a critical matter.  Organisations of any size with complex tasks inevitably operate with derivative rules; the danger is that over the years these rules may be developed into statements that are inconsistent with the original authority.

 

·      Even when rules appear to be straightforward there is frequently a large element of discretion in their application.  The identification of the existence and nature of the discretion is an important part of decision-making.  The appropriate use of discretion is a sign of the maturity of a decision-maker.

 

·      A system of public administrative decision-making ought to conform to standards of independence, impartiality and procedure.  A request for a review of any administrative action may be made to the high court or the Ombudsman.  However, the present Component appears in ADJ not because officials may be held accountable but because we ought to be concerned to conform to the highest practical standards when making decisions which affect people.

 

·      Broadly speaking, the supervision of administration by the courts extends to ensuring that administrators do not exceed their statutory powers or exercise powers in bad faith or for an improper purpose, or on irrelevant or extraneous considerations, or without taking into account relevant considerations.  In exceptional circumstances an administrative decision may be invalidated on the grounds that it is grossly unreasonable.

 

·      The Ombudsman may reach a conclusion that a discretionary power has been exercised for an improper purpose, on irrelevant grounds, or on the taking into account of irrelevant considerations, or that in the case of a decision made in the exercise of any discretionary power, reasons should have been given for the decision.

 

·      In personal cases particularly, issues of natural justice are paramount.  Such issues are raised in this Component.

___________________________________________________________

 

Further Questions

 

23          Have the precedents been determined by a higher authority or at the decision-maker's level?       Are all relevant precedents identified?

 

24          Is the determination of discretion regarding these rules within the jurisdiction and competence of the decision-maker?

 

25          Are there facts that indicate situations which fall outside the rules?  If so, what are these facts?

 

26          Do the relevant rules have explicit interpretation?

 

27         Have the relevant rules established precedents?

 

 

 

28            Are there "informal" rules or practices which have developed over a period of time that need to be taken into account or actively countered?

 

 

29          Do we have enough rules?

 

30          Have there been attempts to reconcile conflicts between any particular rules that are in conflict?

 

31          Which potential decisions are ruled out by rules?

 

32          Do rules set down procedures to follow when reaching decisions?

 

33          Do rules set down procedures to follow when implementing any potential decisions?

 

34          Should a rule be examined with a view to its modification?

 

35          Can the officials involved in the decision be shown to be impartial and disinterested?

 

36          Is there adequate time available for due consideration of the case?

 

37          What factors are likely to force a hasty decision?  What can be done about these factors?

 

38          Is the decision to be taken in an adequately public and "open" way?

 

39          If the proposed decision is implemented what courses of action are open to those who may be dissatisfied or disadvantaged?

 

40          Are all the relevant formal rules being made available to interested parties?

 

41          Where does the onus of proof lie with regard to factual matters?

 

42          What standards of proof are required for factual matters that may be in doubt?

 

43          What standards of proof are required for conclusions or decisions?            (e.g., in criminal cases, reasonable doubt; in civil cases, the balance of probabilities.)

 

44*        Do Treasury regulations or legislation require specific procedures?  (e.g., tendering procedures.)

 

45*        Is sufficient provision made for hearing the case of parties who would be adversely affected financially by a likely decision?

 

46*        Are there Treasury regulations or company financial management guidelines to be considered?

 

47*        Has any proposed expenditure been correctly classified into its budget component?

 

48*        Are there rules that indicate to which part of the organisation any profits will accrue?

 

 

 

 

                           *               Economic Questions

 

___________________________________________________________

 

        Check:       What conflicts are there between rules?

                           What conflicts are there between RULES and MORALITY?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

“We know in our hearts …”

 

___________________________________________________________

 

Definition

 

The MORALITY of ADJ has 2 issues to be considered (1) the moral principles which are held by the organisation or the decision-maker to be potentially relevant in any application of ADJ (2) the persons or parties affected (together with an account of how they are affected) by a potential decision.

____________________________________________________________

 

Key Questions

 

                  1        What are the principles of morality that

                             should be consciously considered by managers

                             when the decision is made?

 

                  2        Who are the parties affected by potential decisions?

 

____________________________________________________________

 

Notes

 

·            Any principle which deals with or affects people is a moral    principle.

 

·                 Institutions develop their own "ethos of service" and this may provide many of the moral precepts.  Examples include patterns of consultation or notification, protection of colleagues' reputations or fields of operation.  Sociologists talk of organisations having their own unique culture.

 

·                 Other moral principles may come from government policy or society at large.  For example, positive compensation for cultural difference, concern for the maintenance of competition, or concern for subordinates.

 

·                 In some very serious circumstances the personal morality of the official may be important.  The Nuremberg trials showed this.

 

·                 The arguments concerning how persons ought to be affected by potential decisions are raised by this Component.

 

·                 Officials in some circumstances ought to attempt to view decisions from the perspective of others, e.g., clients, Ministers, members of minority groups.

 

___________________________________________________________

 

Further Questions

 

                  49      Should I inform colleagues of my choices and actions?

                             (The moral principle here is that I ought to inform colleagues

                             of matters that may affect them.)

 

                  50      Should we be concerned with reputations?  Are there

                             aspects of potential decisions that may reflect poorly on

                             colleagues or organisations?

 

                  51      Is the department/company acting with integrity?

 

                  52      Are there matters of cultural difference to be taken into account? (The moral principle is that relevant differences between people should be taken into account when making decisions.)

 

                  53      Is compassion appropriate and possible?

 

                  54      Will any potential decision affect religious or spiritual sensibilities?

 

                  55      Is there a public interest being disadvantaged by the decision proposed?

 

                  56      For each stakeholder what are the likely advantages and disadvantages of each potential decision?  How will they view the decision?

 

                  57      Are the parties sufficiently able to advocate their own interest? (e.g., children, persons unaware that decisions are being taken, language, cultural minorities.)  Should special provisions be made for such parties to be heard?

 

                  58      Are there conflicts of interests involved in this case?  What are they?  How do they occur?

 

                  59*     Does the likely decision accord with the company’s / government’s economic objectives?

 

                  60*     What stakeholders will be financially affected?  Is it possible to state the financial effects?

 

                  61*     What is the likely financial cost/benefit to the taxpayer/shareholder?

 

                  62*     Is the decision proposed in accordance with accepted standards of business probity?

 

*         Economic Considerations

 

__________________________________________________________

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

“The options are ...”

 

____________________________________________________________

 

Definition

 

OPTIONS are all the alternative decisions available, and it is in this Component that the major conclusions are reached.

____________________________________________________________

 

Key Questions

 

                  1       What are the options?  Have all the possible

                           alternative options been considered?

 

                  2       Is each option logical?  Is each option fair?

 

                  3       Would each option be in accordance with

                           the weight of evidence?

 

__________________________________________________________

 

Notes

 

·          It makes sense to begin consideration of the decision by        writing down the options that prima facie are open.

 

·          Decisions about the issue to be decided, and decisions         about how to implement the substantive decisions have to be     made frequently.

 

·              In making a decision, concern must be given to logic and the balancing of competing interests or principles.  Judgement is improved when it is clear what considerations are being judged.

 

·              The wider implications of the particular case should be considered with a view towards policy or systems development.  Decisions reporting this work should be recorded and passed forward to the appropriate person.

 

·              Some decision-makers are afraid of possible consequences if they do not make a decision or if they make a particular decision. Such fears may be reasonable or unreasonable. The fears themselves can always be examined.

 

____________________________________________________________

 

Further Questions

 

                  63     What decisions are being called for?

 

                  64     Are there legitimate ways of avoiding taking less satisfactory

                           decisions?

 

                  65     Has the decision-maker sufficiently distanced psychological              matters from matters of principle?

 

                  66     Which of the Components and which specific matters related

                           to those Components appear to dominate the matter being

                           decided?

 

                  67     Are there decisions which should be taken regarding the wider implications of the particular case being considered?  Should this case be used as an example to be considered in policy or systems development?

 

                  68     Is the situation one where negotiation between affected parties is appropriate?

 

                  69     Is the decision-maker certain that there is no hidden personal or institutional motive involved?

 

                  70     Should an independent review of the decision be organised before action is taken?

 

                  71     Should the decision be cleared with anyone to protect the decision-maker?

 

                  72*   Are the financial implications of the proposed decision being appropriately weighed against other concerns?

 

                  *        Economic Considerations

 


 

“What if …”

 

____________________________________________________________

 

Definition

 

The tasks within the RISKS Component of ADJ are a consideration of those matters that may affect the implementation of the decision once it is made and, the development of practical proposals to assist with its implementation. The focus is on the risks associated with the decision.

____________________________________________________________

 

Key Questions

 

1               What might go wrong during the implementation of alternative decisions that are proposed?

 

2               Are alternative approaches to implementation available?

 

3               Have the recognised problems of implementation been countered     by concrete proposals?

___________________________________________________________

 

Notes               

·              The implications cannot, by definition, be completely assessed before the decision is made.  They may sometimes be important in explaining what went wrong!

 

·              Good decision-makers foresee implications, limitations and risks.

 

·              This Component requires that the decision-maker considers how the decision will be conveyed to persons affected.

 

 

 

 

·              The implementation may involve a decision to use the psychology of persuasion and the skills associated with  marshalling an argument.  The actual abilities here are beyond the strategy of ADJ itself.

 

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Further Questions

 

73     Who should announce the decision?

 

74     Are persons affected by the decision, or with a right to know of the decision, to be told in an appropriate manner?

 

75     Will this decision affect staff relations?  Will all colleagues who may have to respond to repercussions be adequately briefed?

 

76     Have staff been warned of possible repercussions?

 

77     Should the decision result in a legal challenge, what costs may this entail?

 

78*    Have budget planners (management/accounts staff) been warned of possible repercussions?

 

79     How might the decision or the proposals to implement it be modified to take account of the implications?

 

80     Are there people available to implement the decision?

 

81     What happens it people do not co-operate?

 

82     Does the decision have training implications?

 

83*    Does the proposed decision involve assumptions about the availability of money in future financial years?

 

84     Are there contingency plans should awkward questions be asked? (What's your escape route?)

 

*        Economic Questions

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LEARNING AND USING

 

THE MODEL

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

BASIC APPLICATION OF THE MODEL

 

 

The manager’s learning of the ADJ model is facilitated by the use of the checklist of questions.  As experience is gained, the checklist may be modified to suit an individual’s personal concerns or institutional circumstances. 

 

Generally within an organisation, there will be a series of matters that always impinge on decisions.  The experienced manager will be an expert on these.

 

When beginning to use the model, managers have found it helpful to record their thoughts systematically on a check sheet as shown at the end of your booklet.

 

Comparisons of these check sheets (between individuals considering the same decision and between decisions taken by the same individual) have been found to be revealing of personality, breadth and depth of thought and competence in decision-making.

 

 

 

 

 

           

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


FURTHER APPLICATIONS OF THE MODEL

 

 

When the model is applied to particular decisions it is found that the contentious issues usually reduce to 1 or 2 components. The ability of an official to address matters within Components may be developed but not without considerable effort. A person's ability to appreciate RULES may be developed through the study of administrative law; appreciation of MORALITY by the study of ethics; the logic of RULES is addressed in courses on logic. It is at these points that a manager's wider education becomes important in the quality of decisions.

 

Once the Components of ADJ are mastered and habitually used, it is possible to use the model more creatively to review decisions (Principles of Criticism) or to examine the basis of a number of similar decisions (Consistent Administration).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


CONSISTENT ADMINISTRATION

 

 

Consider the following matrix that relates a number of similar decision points to Components:

 

Component                         1                2                3                4                 5

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CONDITIONS

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FACTS

___________________________________________________________

 

RULES

____________________________________________________________

 

MORALITY

____________________________________________________________

 

OPTIONS

____________________________________________________________

 

RISKS

____________________________________________________________

 

 

 

If the salient points for 5 similar decision points are recorded by Component in a matrix, it becomes possible to examine (on the basis of actual cases) the way that Components affect decisions. 

 

For example, it may be revealed that limitations of finance are consistently overriding all other matters or that there are certain principles of morality that the official or the organisation regard as being of prime importance.

 

These financial concerns or moral principles could be built into the organisation's version of the model and specifically taught to officials.  In this way we may systematically work towards uniformity of administration between separate organs of the one organisation.

 


PRINCIPLES OF CRITICISM

 

The Principles of criticism is an approach to reviewing tentative decisions before final commitment.

 

In essence, the Principles ask that, for each Component, from the various perspectives we might adopt, we ask the question: what minimal changes in the Components would lead to a change in the decision? 

 

For example, with FACTS: what facts would have to be different for there to be a different decision outcome?  It is this short list of essential facts that should be the subject of our intensive investigation when we review the robustness of decisions.

 

It is sensible (but not essential) to have an officer who was not involved in the decision to undertake the review.

 

 

THE LAW AND DECISION-MAKING

 

Over reliance on legal specifics may well produce inadequate decisions. The law provides one component of decision-making, but only one. The limitations of the law as a base for decision-making may be seen in the advice given to students in Dowell and Webb’s text: (1) know the problem (2) identify the legal issues (3) identify and apply the law (4) argue (5) conclude. In their section on “argue” they state “If you are arguing on less legalistic grounds, it is also important to give reasons. These may be arguments based on principle, policy, justice, morality and the like”. The model of decision-making (ADJ) is a framework that may be used to manage such a process of argument.

 

 


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DECISION JUSTIFICATION :

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COMPONENT                      CRITICAL POINTS                        BACKING

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FACTS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RULES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MORALITY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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DECISION ANALYSIS WORKSHEET

CASE:

DECISION POINT NUMBER:

CONDITIONS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FACTS

RULES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OPTIONS

MORALITY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RISKS


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